Monday, February 15, 2010

My siblings, Mrs. Fly and my mother got me a framed print over the weekend - C.M. Coolidge's "A Friend in Need."  What poker office would be complete without it?  I always thought this was a single painting, but apparently it's part of a collection that he did called "Dogs Playing Poker."  A link to the other prints are in this Gallery and a description is in Wikipedia.  Because I play online poker and I see players as a bunch of numbers, I'm debating putting little stickers on the glass to make it look something like this (credit to DukeMuscle from 2+2).  But I would have to be super-bored to do that though, and I'm a little too anal about defacing a work of art.  So we'll see.

POKER

I was thinking some more about the -T$47K in all-in ev in my 7 tournaments, and I made the following calculations.  I paid $1,637 for the 7 tournament entry fees.  I (and all the other entrants of those tournaments) received T$26K in tournament dollars over those tournaments.  So each T$ is equal to 6.3 cents.  That means I'm $2,959 below ev.  In other words, had the flips gone "as expected," I should be UP $1,322 in tournaments, rather than DOWN $1,637.  I only played 1,015 tournament hands, so that's a great win rate.  Maybe I'm not a fish!

The problem with that estimation is that I need to be able to get some decent cashes for that estimate to be valid. If my bubble play or shorthanded final table play is sub-par, I will never realize those ev gains. I played a lot of one table tournaments and held my own, so I think I should be okay.

This may be a good way to empirically analyze tournament results.  Obviously, there are tons of other types of luck (as I had listed in a previous post), but I think this is a step forward from just saying "I'm unlucky."  I'll have to think about it more as my tourney study progresses.  Obviously I need to study.

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