Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Another 7.5K hands and up 1.5K.  Seems like a decent day, but my good "friend" Whale generously gave 1K to me on a hand.  So less the free money, it was only a +500 day.  But thanks to my grinding the last 3 days, I'm #14 on my rake race.  What vacation?

Unfortunately, I'm not making any money.  I'm flat this month and on another 60+K hand break-even stretch.  I suppose it's good that I can make a little bit of money (with rakeback) when I'm playing and running like ass.  But the scary thought is, maybe I'm running GOOD and I'm still breaking even.  You just never know.  I seem to be losing a lot of money in the smaller pots, but I'll need some more hands to figure out what's wrong.  I'm back in that familiar situation again - I need to make 10K in the next 10 days to avoid having my worst month in over a year.  This seems very do-able, but the way I'm going, you never know.

HANDS

Here's a hand I would like to call "Not Today Buddy."  So villain is 30/11 (a fish) and he seemed pretty aggressive postflop - he rarely folds the flop and had already raised the turn on me once before.  It's very rare that I would 3bet the turn for VALUE with A high and no fold equity.  Who am I kidding?!?  It's never happened before. 

But I felt like I had a good read on this player, so I went with it.  If I give him the top 31% of hands less 66+ for example (I presume he would raise these and not limp pre), I'm a 73%-27% favorite according to PokerStove.  Normally, the betting would tell me something about his hand, but I was pretty sure he would play pretty much his entire range the same way (except for any solid made hands - lol).  That's what makes him a fish.  Otherwise, I would be praying that my 6 outs are good.  Obviously the turn is an easy fold vs a regular.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $4.00 BB (7 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
BB ($386)
UTG ($269.50)
MP1 ($420)
MP2 ($408)
CO ($586.10)
Button ($400)
Hero (SB) ($400)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K♠, A♦
UTG calls $4, 4 folds, Hero bets $16, 1 fold, UTG calls $12

Flop: ($36) 7♣, 4♣, 4♦ (2 players)
Hero bets $22, UTG calls $22

Turn: ($80) 5♥ (2 players)
Hero bets $56, UTG raises to $160, Hero raises to $362 (All-In), UTG calls $71.50 (All-In)

River: ($543) 10♦ (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $543 $3
Rake:
Main pot: $543 between UTG and Hero, won by Hero

Results:
Hero had K♠, A♦ (one pair, fours).
UTG had A♥, 8♦ (one pair, fours).
Outcome: Hero won $540

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