Saturday, February 19, 2011

[JasonS is someone I see at the midstakes full ring tables on a regular basis.  As his guest post, he decided to post a hand where he pwned the shi*t out of me.  What a swell guy!   I'll post my comments on the hand when I get back from vacation.  He is a member of Lifefish and a poker coach]

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $6.00 BB (9 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($782.05)
Button ($600)
SB ($603)
DoubleFly ($600)
UTG ($615)
UTG+1 ($882.50)
MP1 ($618.45)
MP2 ($832)
Hero (MP3) ($647.65)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q, Q
4 folds, Hero bets $18, 3 folds, DoubleFly calls $12

Flop: ($39) K, 6, J (2 players)
DoubleFly checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($39) K (2 players)
DoubleFly bets $24, Hero raises to $72DoubleFly raises to $180, Hero calls $108

River: ($399) 3 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $51, DoubleFly raises to $198, Hero calls $147

Total pot: $795 | Rake: $3
Main pot: $795 between BB and Hero, won by Hero

Results:
BB had 8, 8 (two pair, Kings and eights).
Hero had Q, Q (two pair, Kings and Queens).
Outcome: Hero won $792

I thought this hand was interesting for a number of reasons. I would like to break down what I was thinking street by street:

Preflop: Obv incredibly standard but wanted to talk about a few things here so we can set up action for later streets. I would think that Dfly is going to be folding 66 some % of the time here seeing as how my range is to wide for him to get paid off often enough. I would expect him to be 3betting KK 100% of the time and I would expect that he 3bets JJ/AK a large % of the time. I would think he always flats with KQ and would most likely 3bet or fold KJo, and fold or sometimes flat KJs.

Flop: The first non standard part of the hand. I would obv be cbetting an incredibly large % of the time however I have position, I have a decent hand to check back the flop with, and I'm not going to get value from much by betting I elect to check. I have different thoughts about this and how exploitable it is however I feel like I am able to balance it enough so that I can remain profitable in a spot like this.

Turn: Basically on the turn because of the range I assigned him preflop I feel like I am ahead almost 100% of the time. Now it becomes a question of how to get value out of his range. Calling turn/river is obv an option but I feel that raising is a much better one for a few reasons. First off, I rep quads. I feel that by repping one hand but having another that I shouldn't have is great in a spot like this. Secondly, I get value from worse hands which kind of goes hand in hand with my first point. When Dfly 3bets the turn it makes the hand even easier to play in my opinion. There are so few value hands in his range that he would play like this. There is no value in shoving so calling is clearly the best option.

River: So the river is pretty much the worst card in the deck for Dfly to continue to bluff, however I'm still positive I have the best hand. The fact that I have the best hand is all relative though since I cant expect him to call with his air and if I bet something like 1/2 pot there is little room left for him to make a bluff raise. I decide to make a "level" size bet and bet 1/8th pot. I feel that this accomplishes a few things. It allows him to hero call with his Ace high hands if he thinks I misclicked or puts me on a hand
like QT/Worse Ace High/Etc. It also allows him plenty of room to make a raise. Just as I believe its hard for him to have any hand for value in this spot my range doesn't make a whole lot of sense either and if he thinks I will fold a hand like Jx then a raise becomes good.

All that being said See my coaching listing :)

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