Friday, January 21, 2011

HANDS - C'MON MAN! EDITION

Not sure if it's because I'm playing too much, but I can't find any super-interesting hands, so I decided to start doing hand histories on hands I think my "reg" opponent butchered.  Villain looks like a new aggressive multitabling reg and is 23/18 with a 55% fold to 3bet and a 2.9% 4bet.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $4.00 BB (9 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($826.10)
UTG ($400)
UTG+1 ($435)
MP1 ($405.10)
MP2 ($985.60)
MP3 ($400)
CO ($229.30)
Hero (Button) ($400)
SB ($400)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A, 6
4 folds, MP3 bets $12, 1 fold, Hero raises to $40,
[Well he opens pretty wide and I've been fairly quiet, so I thought I'd mix things up]

2 folds, MP3 raises to $96,  
[Oops]

Hero raises to $400 (All-In),
[I dunno...  I think he opens over 30% from MP2...]

MP3 calls $304 (All-In)

Results:
Hero had A, 6
MP3 had Q, 10
[I can't believe I'm ahead!!!  Only 53% equity tho...  this is going to be close...  O pleaze don't let the moran suck out!  Puhleeeaaze!]

Flop: ($806) 4, 3, 9 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Turn: ($806) A (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: ($806) K (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $806 | Rake: $3
Main pot: $806 between MP3 and Hero, won by Hero


But seriously, how can he call with QT?  Yes - it's sooted.  But even if I'm jamming 10% of my range (which I'm not), he only has 35% equity.  He needs 38% to call.  Obviously, I need to start 3bet jamming much wider for value.

Some of you may be saying... "DFly, did you really jam $360 with A6o to win $156?!?  Shouldn't *you* get the C'Mon Man ball?"

Ya.  Turns out I needed about 70% fold equity to break even.  If I picked a better junk hand (Axs, KQ, 22, etc) I would need about 65%... so not too swift either way.  But I think you need to mix it up every once in a while.  If you only show up with KK+, you're never going to get any action.  ;-)

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