The topic of Rush win rates came up the other day, so I fired up my HEM to see what the 2/4 Rush player profile looks like. I sorted by number of hands and took a snapshot of the top 10 people I had volume on and came up with this result:
Notice anything unusual? It's highly unusal for people who put in a lot of volume to have a NEGATIVE win rate. Presumably, if you're losing money, you wouldn't try to make it up by increasing volume. If you add up all of the above, that's a -1.15bb/100 (not ptbb) win rate over 124K hands (not including me). 124K hands is a decent sample. FWIW, 9 out of the next 10 are winners, and then it's a hodge podge.
But individually, there is a sample size issue, and I'm certainly not calling anyone out for sucking (since we've all been on 50+K or even 100+K break-even stretches). So if you are one of the above people, don't be offended. Who knows, maybe those guys are secretly crushing the games, and I have a bad sample.
I never really thought about how nitty some of the high-frequency regs were. There are plenty of laggy regs too, but I guess the nitty ones do most of the volume. Like I'm THE aggro LAGtard of the group with a 16 VPIP! And only 2 of the top 10 have a PFR in double digits. LOL? Thanks for your share of weighted contributed rakeback guys! ;-)
If you think about it, Rush is the perfect rakeback grinding game. On Stars, you can 24 table @ 65 hands an hour, giving you around 1,600 hands an hour. Marc Karam occasionally 12 tables Rush (four 2/4 FR tables, four 1/2 FR tables and four 1/2 6max tables) and can get in 2,700 hands an hour (and apparently he also plays a few donkaments at the same time). I have Marc as an 18/13, so you don't have to a nit to play rush. Thankfully, FT's rewards program severely punishes a whole slew of 11/8s from moving over from Stars (because they would make 2+x times more in rewards at Stars, and for a lot of them rakeback is a bulk of their profit).
Also interesting that at least 3 of the people on that list are Korean (including me), and who knows how many of the others are Asian. Must be that child sweatshop gene that's common among Asians.
To be continued (win rates)...





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